In this betting preview:
I remember… Aaron Rai. Another 2025 Read The Line winner (+3500) who kept the summer weeks hot! Speaking of hot, we are heading from Minnesota to Greensboro, North Carolina. Hello humidity, it’s time for the final regular-season event of the 2025 FedEx Cup points race: the Wyndham Championship. A field of 156 entries is competing for FEC points. I know there’s $8.2 million in the purse, but that figure pales in comparison to the top 70 on the year-long points list. Or a solid start getting inside the top 50 and earning signature status. It all counts this week as a bunch of names sit outside the top 70 cutline.
Popular names sitting from 70 to 100:
- N. Højgaard (71), K. Mitchell (72), C. Kirk (73), C. Bezuidenhout (74), G. Woodland (75), D. Thompson (78), E. Cole (79), R. Højgaard (82), A. Scott (85), and T. Kim (89)
More popular names above 100:
- J. Dahmen (101), A. Eckroat (104), M. Homa (106), N. Dunlap (133), and S. Theegala (144)
Take a look at the OWGR breakdown to compare the significance of golf’s version of the playoff chase. Only four of the top 25 in the world ranking are playing against 36 players ranked from 50 to 100! The major season may be over, but we still have tons of drama. Although I get the legacy implications surely are not comparable to winning a green jacket, those in Greensboro have an equal amount of pressure to play under as they fight for their FedEx Cup lives.
This preview is just that, a preview. For a complete list of my betting predictions covering the Wyndham Championship, placements, and H2H matchups, please go to Read The Line and subscribe.
Wyndham Championship 2025 best bets
Best bet to win: Nicolai Højgaard (+5500 on DraftKings)
Over his past three starts, Højgaard finished T24 at the Rocket Classic, T4 at the Scottish, and T14 at The Open Championship. All key parts of Højgaard’s game are clicking. Nicolai is gaining an average of six strokes on the field over his last five starts T2G, and 1.7 strokes with the putter. The Højgaard twins are REALLY talented, and at 71 on the FEC points list, Nicolai is competing for Memphis and a shot at Bethpage Black!
Best bet to place in the Top 10: Matthew Fitzpatrick (+295 on DraftKings)
Take a solid favorite and keep cashing the top 10 bets. Fitzpatrick is showing all kinds of form. He has three straight top 10s on very different venues. Eighth at the Rocket Classic, T4 at the Genesis Scottish Open, and another T4 at the Open Championship. Forty-third on the FedEx Cup list and no guarantee for the European side at the Ryder Cup, Fitzpatrick has plenty to keep him motivated in Greensboro.
Best head-to-head bet: Pierceson Coody over Michael Thorbjornsen (-120 on DraftKings)
Thorbjornsen has been struggling with his iron game. Need 20 under to compete at the Wyndham? Thorbjornsen will need to cure his approach problems quickly. Coody has learned a valuable lesson this summer; he can contend on the PGA TOUR. Sixteenth at Colonial and T3 at the 3M, all of those top 10s on the Korn Ferry Tour are starting to translate.
Wyndham Championship 2025 betting odds
Odds courtesy of DraftKings. Showing odds shorter than +9000.
| Golfer | Odds |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +2000 |
| Ben Griffin | +2500 |
| Keegan Bradley | +2500 |
| Aaron Rai | +2800 |
| Jordan Spieth | +3000 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | +3000 |
| Robert MacIntyre | +3000 |
| Akshay Bhatia | +3500 |
| Si Woo Kim | +3500 |
| Lucas Glover | +3500 |
| Jake Knapp | +4000 |
| Harry Hall | +4000 |
| J.T. Poston | +5000 |
| Denny McCarthy | +5000 |
| Sam Stevens | +5000 |
| Ryan Gerard | +5000 |
| Rickie Fowler | +5000 |
| Kurt Kitayama | +5000 |
| Adam Scott | +5500 |
| Sungjae Im | +5500 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | +5500 |
| Max Greyserman | +5500 |
| Cameron Young | +5500 |
| Rico Hoey | +6000 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | +6000 |
| Luke Clanton | +6000 |
| Christian Bezuidenhout | +6000 |
| Bud Cauley | +6000 |
| Andrew Novak | +6500 |
| Emiliano Grillo | +6500 |
| Davis Thompson | +6500 |
| Kevin Yu | +6500 |
| Alex Smalley | +7000 |
| Alex Noren | +7000 |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | +7000 |
| Pierceson Coody | +7000 |
| Matt Wallace | +7000 |
| Jackson Koivun | +7500 |
| Tom Kim | +7500 |
| Max Homa | +7500 |
| Andrew Putnam | +8000 |
| Tony Finau | +8000 |
| Ryan Fox | +8000 |
| Keith Mitchell | +8000 |
| Jesper Svensson | +9000 |
| Thomas Detry | +9000 |
| Takumi Kanaya | +9000 |
| Doug Ghim | +9000 |
| Nico Echavarria | +9000 |
| Michael Kim | +9000 |
| Chris Kirk | +9000 |
Wyndham Championship 2025: Betting preview
Welcome back to Sedgefield Country Club. A par 70 scorecard measuring 7,131 yards, this is the forty-third time SCC has hosted the Wyndham since it started in 1938. A classic Donald Ross design winding its way through the Carolina pines, accuracy reigns supreme over length. Just look at last year’s winner, Aaron Rai! The greens are 6,000 sq/ft on average and covered in Bermudagrass. Sedgefield CC is wall-to-wall Bermudagrass. Hot and humid conditions will make that Bermuda rough extra clingy, so make sure you hit the fairway. SCC annually carries one of the highest penalties on the PGA TOUR for missing the short grass. With 70 strokes, the field loses two par 5s and gains two more par 4s. Fifty-three bunkers decorate this Donald design along with his customary devilish green complexes, especially on the par 3s.
Do you remember the Wyndham Championship weather last year? Hurricane Debby delayed play on Thursday and Friday by dropping 4.4″ of rain on Sedgfield CC. Somehow, tournament officials finished the event by Sunday evening, until Matt Kuchar stopped play due to darkness. Aaron Rai had already won the event on Sunday evening, but the tournament was not completed until the next day. Fast forward to 2025, and the greater Greensboro region has received 9.2″ of rain in July. Soft conditions once again will be the theme. Temperatures are predicted in the mid-80s until Saturday morning. A front is moving through on Thursday afternoon, bringing 0.5 – 0.6 inches of rain and some wind into Friday. Weekend temperatures will drop into the high 70s, and it should be unbelievable golf weather.
The average winning score at the Wyndham over the last decade is 20 under par. I believe it would be lower if this weren’t the last week of the season. A par 70 layout with nine par 4s under 450 yards is not a stiff PGA TOUR test. The last 10 winners have averaged 25 sub-par scores in the event they won, and Las Vegas has set the over/under winning score at 20.5 under par. The average cut line over the past five years is two under par. It will be lower this year. Soft conditions similar to last year (-4 cutline) will promote a ton of scoring. Outside of the usual Sunday pressure to close, these players will have incredible “go low” weather over the weekend. Wyndham is a fun positional test. Guys can make a high score if they find themselves out of position. Even Tom Kim made a quadruple bogey in the year he won. Kim opened the tournament with a quad and still shot 67 that day!
Scoring and points will be the coverage theme along with soft conditions. Get ready to play on Bermudagrass as well. Wet, humid Bermuda will be extremely grainy. Players with positive experiences on this southern weed will have an advantage, and we will weigh that into our card. The top 65 and ties make the weekend. There’s no doubt this cut is bigger than others, as those outside the top 70 who don’t stay through Sunday are done until the Procore Championship the second week in September. You better believe that event is going to accept an all-star cast of Ryder Cuppers two weeks before Bethpage. That will leave just six more fall events for players to secure their top 100 status. Want more weight on the Wyndham? Avoid those 12 holes with water in play and the Bermuda rough. Go low on the greens, and you have a chance to play another week. The PGA TOUR set this up to be dramatic, but it’s just a shame we’re heading to a “soft” Sedgefield to figure it out.
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Wyndham Championship 2025: Sedgefield Country Club course overview
Our last two Wyndham winners are impeccable ball strikers. Tom Kim is a serious accuracy artist as well, if you want to go back three years. Brandt Snedeker, Webb Simpson, Henrik Stenson, and Sergio Garcia have all won here. In summary, you cannot fake your way around this Ross routing. Competitors are forced to hit their spots, for if they don’t, then you cannot keep pace with the scoring.
So much of the past success at Sedgefield has been dictated by play off the tee. Look at that list of names again, those guys hit it STRAIGHT. Add in a Kevin Kisner, Si Woo Kim, and Ryan Moore. These guys were never going to lead a long drive contest, but split the Carolina pines, and they have an advantage. I’m weighing total driving this week, along with strokes gained off the tee. I like the combination because by considering both, we get a more accurate balance between accuracy and length.
Sedgefield Country Club is one of the easiest attacking courses on the PGA TOUR. Seventy percent of the approach shots fall under 175 yards. There are four important iron shots over 200 yards. Two par 3s over 220 yards and the two par 5s. Besides those four swings, this is a wedgefest. In many ways, it is very similar to a number of PGA TOUR venues.
Where Sedgfield separates on approach is twofold. First, you have to consider the lies. SCC is far from flat. Ross did an exceptional job of laying the holes over the landscape. Holes move up-down, and side to side. There are very few level lies on this scorecard outside of the tee boxes. Avid RTL readers know, great around the green players are excellent off uneven lies. On weeks like Wyndham, I weigh those players on approach who have solid short games above all else.
With 12 par 4s, you know scoring on the 4s is a factor. The king of par 4 scoring, Webb Simpson, made a career of playing in Greensboro! We’ll be heavily considering par 4 acumen along with these par ranges. Here are the three yardage categories where players have gained the most strokes against the field over the last 10 years by par.
- Par 3: 150-175
- Par 4: 400-450
- Par 5: 500-550
Agronomy is my next major consideration. Only the Country Club of Jackson (Sanderson) and TPC Southwind (St. Jude) have the super grainy style Bermudagrass we will see players play from this week. Many pundits will tell you the greens make a difference, but I also believe predicting lies around the green and from the rough play a huge part in the overall success each guy will gain on the field.
Bermudagrass is like a bushy weed. The ball is extremely unpredictable from each type of lie. The more Bermuda holes you have played in your life, the better. We see it every year at Wyndham. Snedeker, Simpson, Glover, etc. Guys who grew up and played a ton of competitive golf in the southeast have a considerable edge. Can a guy with two gloves from England win? Yes, but if you look at the last 10 leaderboards, they are littered with hometown Southeast heroes.
Three of the last five winners have lost strokes ARG in the week they won. This is a trick statistic. Thanks to the Bermudagrass rough and super-grainy tightly mown lies, Sedgefield CC is a tougher short game test than the stats let on. I mentioned this alongside approach play, but I will add in ARG touch to my research. Most miss this aspect of Wyndham week, but we will not. Just because a player doesn’t “gain” a ton of strokes on the field does not mean they didn’t have a great short game week.
Of course, experience reigns supreme again as the more shots you have hit off various Bermuda lies, the better your prediction process becomes. That’s the trick with all of Bermuda agronomy. The ball can fall to the bottom or sit on top. Two inches of Bermudagrass is the equivalent of four inches of bluegrass rough or more. You can get hot flyers from Bermuda and heavy lies. We are going to see a bunch more of the latter with the wet conditions, but in all cases, the hometown handicap applies. If you’re used to this grass, you have an opportunity to differentiate yourself.
There’s no place where that separation takes place more than on the putting surfaces. The last five winners have gained over six strokes on the field with their flatstick (average). Seven of the last 10 have gained over four strokes. The grain grabs the ball when it loses speed. Therefore, those putts inside 10 feet are the ones that are most affected. Expert Bermuda readers have an advantage, and it shows in their putting history. A guy could spike, but I’m sticking with proven consistency on Bermudagrass greens. A second filter is scoring. Those players who have been converting birdie chances are my first look. We haven’t been on Bermuda in quite some time, so this research will go back more than my usual 20-24 rounds.
I seldom mention my round reach, but I’ll take a moment to address it. I believe in recent form, and as it applies to course history. I know several very successful touts use 36+ rounds. Their success proves it will work under certain conditions as well, but when it comes to building out an entire betting card and DFS lineups, there’s a sweet spot around that 20, 22, 24 round number. In my mind, it shows the perfect combination of recent form and sustained consistency.
If you always filter for 50 rounds, then Scottie, Rory, Xander, etc. will sit at the top of your list. Cut the length in half, and Scottie will still be #1 (Ha, ha), but you will also start to see more of the Chris Gotterups of the world as they make their ascent. Catching a guy on the climb is the best time to bet him. Look at last week’s placements. Christiaan Bezuidenhout would never reach noticeable status for the 3M at 36+ rounds. Run a shorter span, and we hit a nice top 20 (+360).
That’s enough on the Wyndham. I’m incorporating a couple of those playing for their PGA TOUR lives and proven Wyndham winners. We won here last year during a Tropical Storm. There’s no need to reinvent the wheel on one of the PGA TOUR’s more predictable venues.
Read The Line is the leading golf betting insights service led by 5-time award-winning PGA Professional Keith Stewart. Read The Line has 41 outright wins and covers the TGL, LPGA, and PGA TOUR, raising your golf betting acumen week after week. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter and follow us on social media: TikTok, Instagram, and Twitter.
