Now that’s more like it. A perfect 3-0 MLB player props card on Thursday runs our weekly record to 6-6. Two of yesterday’s selections were plus-money winners, which actually brings us back into the black for the week as the weekend draws near.
We’re back to a 15-game slate on Friday, meaning the player props menu is loaded with options. My favorite game to target is the Mariners vs Padres contest, where online sportsbooks refuse to give Manny Machado the credit he deserves.
MLB Player Prop Picks for May 16
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105 at Bet365)
Machado enters play tonight as one of the hottest hitters in baseball. The 32-year-old is on pace to break the record for most hits ever by a third baseman at his age, and is currently riding a 14-game hitting streak.
In the month of May alone, he’s slashing .500/.588/.667. He’s racked up 21 hits, 14 runs, and 7 RBI, clearing 1.5 total bases in nine of his last 11 starts. Machado is on pace for career-highs in batting average and OBP, and is making hard contact at a 57.5% clip, the highest rate of his MLB tenure.
Now he gets to face a struggling, inexperienced pitcher at home. Run, don’t walk to bet over 1.5 total bases at plus-money. That pitcher is Seattle’s Logan Evans, who’s coughed up a .300/.373/.417 slash line to enemy hitters.
Right-handed bats like Machado have had the most success against him, slashing .353/.405/.559 so far. Evans has yielded 15 hits and 9 runs in his last two starts, and is primed to be roughed up by a very talented San Diego lineup.
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Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits, Runs, and RBI (+120 at Bet365)
For our next selection, we’re betting over 2.5 hits, runs, and RBI for Cleveland’s Jose Ramirez at juicy +120 odds. It’s a line he’s cleared in three consecutive games, and he’s fresh off a series with the Brewers where he homered twice, drove in 4 runs, and batted .444.
Also working in his favor is a sparkling track record versus Cincinnati starter Brady Singer.
Ramirez is 12-for-27 all-time against Singer, with 3 home runs, 5 extra-base hits, and 10 RBI.
As for the Reds righty, Ramirez and the Guardians are catching him at the perfect time. Singer has coughed up 16 hits, 11 runs, and 2 homers in his last 8.1 innings alone. The 28-year-old is generating the fewest swings and misses of his career (8.9%), while his 41.8% hard-hit allowed rate is the worst mark of his MLB tenure.
