The Chicago White Sox (31-62) ,behind starter Jonathan Cannon (3-7, 4.50 ERA), look to bring the Guardians (43-48) one step closer to trade deadline seller. For Cleveland, Logan Allen (5-7, 4.07 ERA) will be on the mound, hoping to quiet a White Sox squad that snapped a three-game losing streak last night.
The Guardians have had Chicago’s number, winning the last seven consecutive games between the two clubs.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Odds
| Bet Type | Cleveland Guardians Odds | Chicago White Sox Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+123) | +1.5 (-149) |
| Moneyline | -132 | +108 |
| Total Runs | Over 8.5 (-108) | Under 8.5 (-112) |
Odds as of July 10, 2025, from DraftKings.
The odds position the Cleveland Guardians as road favorites, a reflection of their recent dominance in this head-to-head series and the significant gap in the teams’ overall records. The total is set at a standard 8.5 runs, with slightly more juice on the under, hinting that oddsmakers anticipate a lower-scoring affair, a notion supported by the pitching matchup and weather forecast.
White Sox vs Guardians Odds Movement & Analysis
The betting market has seen some intriguing movement for this contest. The moneyline opened with the Guardians around -137 but has since ticked down to -132, while the White Sox moved from +112 to +108. This is a classic case of reverse line movement, as public betting splits show over 82% of moneyline tickets backing Cleveland. This suggests that sharp, professional money may be finding value on the home underdog White Sox.
Similarly, the total opened at 8.5 with even -110 odds on both sides. While nearly 60% of public bets are on the Over, the juice has shifted to the Under (-112). This movement, combined with a forecast of winds blowing in from left field at Rate Field, indicates that the market is respecting the potential for suppressed offense. The Guardians’ lineup is also thinned by injuries, and the White Sox offense ranks near the bottom of the league, providing further support for a low-scoring game.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians – Starting Pitcher Matchups & Batter History
Cleveland Guardians Career Statistics vs. Jonathan Cannon
| BATTER | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Bo Naylor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .500 | .600 | .500 | 1.100 |
| Brayan Rocchio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .400 | .500 | .900 |
| José Ramírez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .333 | .400 | .733 |
| Jhonkensy Noel | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .200 | .200 | .400 |
| Carlos Santana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .250 | .400 | .250 | .650 |
| Daniel Schneemann | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Nolan Jones | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .200 | .200 | .800 | 1.000 |
Chicago White Sox Career Statistics vs. Logan Allen
| BATTER | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert Jr. | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .333 | .333 | .467 | .800 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | .500 | .750 | 1.250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .222 | .364 | .444 | .808 |
| Miguel Vargas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 |
| Austin Slater | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .500 | 1.000 | 1.500 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .533 |
White Sox vs Guardians July 10 Batter Props
| PLAYER | HITS | TOTAL BASES | HOME RUNS | RBIs | RUNS SCORED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 1.5 (O +175 | U -240) | 1.5 (O -110 | U -120) | Yes +260 | 0.5 (O -105 | U -130) | 0.5 (O -115 | U -120) |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 1.5 (O +175 | U -235) | 1.5 (O +110 | U -150) | Yes +600 | 0.5 (O +215 | U -300) | 0.5 (O -110 | U -125) |
| Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) | 0.5 (O -220 | U +160) | 1.5 (O +130 | U -175) | Yes +425 | 0.5 (O +170 | U -230) | 0.5 (O +120 | U -165) |
| Austin Slater (CWS) | 0.5 (O -210 | U +155) | 1.5 (O +150 | U -205) | Yes +550 | 0.5 (O +225 | U -310) | 0.5 (O +120 | U -165) |
MLB batter props as of July 10, 2025, from DraftKings & consensus.
White Sox vs Guardians July 10 Pitcher Props
For prop bettors, Logan Allen’s strikeout line of 4.5 looks appealing on the Over (-145). The White Sox offense has one of the highest strikeout rates in the league, and Allen has the stuff to take advantage. Conversely, Jonathan Cannon’s strikeout prop is a low 3.5, but against a high-contact Guardians team that rarely strikes out, the Under (-120) holds significant value.
For hitters, José Ramírez over 1.5 total bases (-110) is a strong play; he has a double in five career at-bats against Cannon and is the Guardians’ most dangerous offensive threat.
Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Prediction
Despite slumping overall and having injury woes, the Guardians are fundamentally sounder team with a distinct advantage in the starting pitching matchup and a history of dominating this series. Logan Allen has been effective this season, posting a 4.07 ERA and specializing in inducing ground balls. He faces a White Sox lineup that is among the league’s worst in nearly every offensive category. While a few White Sox hitters have had success in small samples against him, Allen’s overall profile is well-suited to quiet their bats at the pitcher-friendly Rate Field.
On the other side, Jonathan Cannon has struggled to a 4.50 ERA and now faces a disciplined Guardians lineup. The Guardians’ offense excels at making contact and putting pressure on defenders, a style that can exploit a young pitcher like Cannon.
Several betting trends reinforce a pro-Guardians, pro-Under angle. The White Sox have lost their last seven games against the Guardians and are just 2-8 in their last 10 games against opponents with losing records. Most notably, the Under has cashed in five of the last six meetings between these clubs (an 83.3% hit rate). With winds blowing in and two offenses that struggle to produce runs consistently, all signs point to another low-scoring affair.
Picks:
