One more week, and we’ll be down to just eight teams in the 2022/23 UEFA Champions League as the Round of 16 second legs unfold.
Four teams — AC Milan, Inter Milan, Bayern Munich, and Borussia Dortmund — will take narrow 1-0 aggregate leads into those decisive return matches, while RB Leipzig and Manchester City remain deadlocked at 1-1 after the first 90 minutes played in Germany.
Napoli and Benfica are up by two goals, and Real Madrid by three, looking likely to join the elite eight of the competition barring an incredible collapse.
The Sporting News breaks down each tie and what each team needs to do to advance. Reminder: since last season, away goals no longer serve as a tiebreaker. If teams are level on goals after 180 minutes, they will head to extra time, and penalties if necessary, to determine a winner.
LIVE: Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund Champions League updates
MORE: All the details of the Champions League quarterfinal draw
Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund
- 1st Leg: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Chelsea (Feb. 15)
- 2nd Leg: Tuesday, March 7 (Stamford Bridge)
Dortmund still have work to do to pull off the upset. A Karim Adeyemi goal on a full sprint has the Black and Yellow ahead by the slimmest of margins, but Chelsea will be encouraged knowing they deserved more from that first leg in Germany.
MORE: Chelsea vs Dortmund prediction and best bets
How Chelsea can advance to quarterfinals
- Win by two goals or more: Chelsea advance to quarterfinals
- Win by one goal: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Draw or loss: Chelsea are eliminated
How Borussia Dortmund can advance to quarterfinals
- Win or draw: Dortmund advance to quarter finals
- One-goal loss: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Two-goal loss or worse: Dortmund are eliminated
Benfica vs Club Brugge
- 1st Leg: Club Brugge 0-2 Benfica (Feb. 15)
- 2nd Leg: Tuesday, March 7 (Estadio da Luz)
Benfica were good value for their 2-0 win in Belgium, and there’s no reason to believe they won’t dominate once again at home. But Brugge are dangerous on the counter, and during the group stage they beat Benfica rivals Porto 4-0 in Portugal.
MORE: Benfica vs Club Brugge best bets and prediction
How Benfica can advance to quarterfinals
- Win, draw, or loss by one goal: Benfica advance to quarterfinals
- Loss by two goals: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Loss by three or more goals: Benfica are eliminated
How Club Brugge can advance to quarterfinals
- Win by three or more goals: Club Brugge advance to quarterfinals
- Win by two goals: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Loss, draw, or win by one goal: Club Brugge are eliminated
Tottenham Hotspur vs AC Milan
- 1st Leg: AC Milan 1-0 Tottenham (Feb. 14)
- 2nd Leg: Wednesday, March 8 (Tottenham Hotspur Stadium)
After conceding early in Italy, Tottenham arguably did well to head back home with only a narrow loss. Spurs will be banking on their ability to dial up the intensity in London with manager Antonio Conte back on the sidelines after a spell of rest following surgery. Meanwhile, AC Milan are dreaming of a return to the quarterfinal stage for the first time in over a decade (2011/12).
How Tottenham can advance to quarterfinals
- Win by two goals or more: Tottenham advance to quarterfinals
- Win by one goal: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Draw or loss: Tottenham are eliminated
How AC Milan can advance to quarterfinals
- Win or draw: AC Milan advance to quarterfinals
- One-goal loss: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Two-goal loss or worse: AC Milan are eliminated
Bayern Munich vs PSG
- 1st Leg: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich (Feb. 14)
- 2nd Leg: Wednesday, March 8 (Allianz Arena)
Bayern deserved to win in Paris, but they’ll remember how the momentum completely shifted after Kylian Mbappe entered midway through the second half. This time, the 2022 World Cup top scorer will be in the lineup from the start, and even without the injured Neymar, he will singlehandedly test the German champions as PSG continue to dream of a first Champions League title.
How Bayern Munich can advance to quarterfinals
- Win or draw: Bayern advance to quarterfinals
- One-goal loss: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Two-goal loss or worse: Bayern are eliminated
How PSG can advance to quarterfinals
- Win by two goals or more: PSG advance to quarterfinals
- Win by one goal: Extra time (and, if necessary, penalties)
- Draw or loss: PSG are eliminated
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