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Spezia vs Inter prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Serie A match in Italy

Inter look to further lock in their UEFA Champions League status for next season as they travel to relegation-threatened Spezia in a Serie A showdown on Friday.

The Milan club are second in the table, but as they are 15 points adrift from runaway leaders Napoli, there’s little hope of a title chase. Instead, they are hoping to maintain their slim lead atop the remaining Champions League places, sitting just three points clear of fifth-placed AC Milan in the jam-packed battle for a top-four place.

Defeat in their last road match at Bologna was a damper on that goal, as they were blanked on 13 shots, of which they managed to put just four on frame. Lautaro Martinez, however, is in good form, with five goals in his last six league matches, leading the Inter line after a poor World Cup showing.

Spezia, meanwhile, are in a scrap at the bottom of the table, sitting 17th and just above the drop zone by three points over 18th-placed Hellas Verona. They’ve managed to pick up three points in their last four matches, all via draws, but haven’t been victorious once in 2023.

MORE: When was the last time Napoli won Serie A?

Spezia vs Inter match facts

  • Date: Friday, March 10
  • Kickoff Time: 2:45 pm ET / 7:45 pm GMT / 6:45 am AEDT (Sat, Mar. 11)
  • Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (Spezia, Italy)
  • Official: Livio Marinelli
  • Last meeting: Inter 3-0 Spezia (Aug. 20, 2022 | Serie A)

Spezia vs Inter prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Inter (-225)
  • Against the spread lean: Spezia +1.5 (-160)
  • Score prediction: Spezia 1-2 Inter

Inter should come away with all three points, but Spezia are a plucky bunch and could give the visitors trouble en route to an eventual victory.

Spezia win +600 +582 13/2 7.50 7.40
Draw +360 +351 18/5 4.25 4.80
Inter win -225 -234 2/5 1.44 1.46
Both teams
to score Y / N
+100 / -135 -110 / -143 10/11, 4/5 1.91 / 1.80 2.03 / 1.79
Over / Under
2.5 goals
-135 / +100 1.28 / 1.01 4/6, 11/10 1.75 / 2.02 1.82 / 2.08
Inter -1.5 +115 +121 2.28
Spezia +1.5 -160 -151 1.70

Spezia vs Inter: best bet

  • Pick: Half with most goals — 1H
  • Odds: +200 (BetMGM)

Both these teams are significantly better than average in the first half on expected goals this season, especially Spezia who have been decent going forward for a relegation candidate. Spezia have put together over 15 xG this season before the break, and only 10 after, which is a massive skew in a game that usually features more goals after halftime.

While Inter put up two of their three goals in the second half in the reverse fixture back in August, that was a poor representation of the game flow. The Milan club pummeled Spezia to the tune of 13 shots before halftime, while their two second-half strikes came on just six efforts on goal. Expect this one to be wrapped up early.

Spezia vs Inter live stream, TV channel

MORE: Watch Premier League matches live with fuboTV in USA

  TV channel Streaming
USA Paramount+
Canada fuboTV
UK BT Sport 2 BT Sport
Australia beIN Sports 3 beIN Sports Connect, Kayo Sports
New Zealand Sky Sport 7 beIN Sports beIN Sports Connect
India Sports 18 JioTV
Hong Kong beIN Sports 1 beIN Sports Connect, M Plus Live, Now Player
Malaysia beIN Sports Connect
Singapore beIN Sports Connect

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