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LIV Golf Las Vegas odds, predictions: Niemann still has good value coming off first tour win

Quick question: What do the NFL and the LIV Tour have in common?

The answer is they will both battle for fans this week as they host events in Las Vegas.

The LIV Tour has its second event of the 2024 season while the NFL has a little something called the Super Bowl.

So while millions and millions of fans around the world will tune in to watch the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers battle for football supremacy, a few less fans will watch 52 LIV golfers taking on Las Vegas Country Club in search of the $4 million top prize.

We will definitely be tuning in to the football game on Sunday and we’re certain the LIV players and fans will be as well as the LIV folks have moved the tournament from its normal Friday-Sunday timeframe to a Thursday-Saturday run to avoid going head-to-head with the Super Bowl.

Let’s take a look at this week’s Vegas venture and see if we can come up with a winner or two, while we also go over the thousands of betting options for the Super Bowl. We won’t pass those along as there are folks on this website with much more NFL knowledge than us. Make sure to check them out before the big game.

Odds to win the LIV Tour event in Las Vegas

Here are the pre-tournament odds for this week’s LIV Tour event in Las Vegas from bet365:

  • Jon Rahm +400
  • Joaquin Niemann +1000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +1100
  • Cameron Smith +1400
  • Brooks Koepka +1400
  • Dustin Johnson +1400
  • Bryson DeChambeau +1600
  • Talor Gooch +1600
  • Sergio Garcia +2000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +2200
  • Dean Burmester +2200
  • Patrick Reed +3000
  • Abraham Ancer +3000
  • Adrian Meronk +3300
  • Charles Howell III +3500

Bet365 welcome bonus: Bet on LIV Golf with our bet365 bonus code for a $2,000 First Bet Safety Net, or a Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets welcome offer

Can Rahm improve on strong LIV debut?

Jon Rahm made quite the first impression in his first LIV event, finishing T-3 last week in Mexico.

A bad swing on the 53rd hole (remember, these are 54-hole events), cost him dearly as he wound up finishing bogey-bogey and missing out on the playoff fun.

In that playoff, Joaquin Niemann beat Sergio Garcia (and nightfall) for his first LIV crown.

But what a week it could have been for Rahm. While his four-man squad did win the team title, he didn’t win in his first LIV outing, much to our betting chagrin.

Rahm, the favorite again this week at +400, adjusted well to his first time in the new format (54 holes, shotgun start, loud music) with his finish.

Now with an event under his belt and getting so close to winning, look for him to keep the momentum going.

He’s coming into the new league off an impressive PGA tour final season where he was edged out of the PGA Tour Player of the Year honors by Scottie Scheffler.

He had four wins and a pair of runner-up finishes in the 2022-23 wraparound season so he’s certainly used to being in contention.

We’re in Vegas and there’s going to be a lot of Super Bowl bets being made.

But putting a few bucks on Jon Rahm might be a gambler’s best bet of the week.

Related: Top golf betting sites | Best sportsbook promos and bonuses

Niemann great betting value after getting first LIV win

We’ve always doubled down on players going back-to-back, but it’s usually in back-to-back years as a player returns as the defending champion.

Well, that’s going to be impossible this year as it’s the first time LIV has stopped in Vegas.

So we’re going to go with the back-to-back format of winning in consecutive events.

Niemann, at +1000 this week, is great value despite the fact he won last week.

And he had to overcome diversity in posting his first LIV win.

First he shot 59 in the opening round and opened a huge lead.

People were expecting him to win. And he hung in there and had a four-shot lead heading into the final round.

Well, for a minute or two anyway.

He woke up on Sunday to find out his lead had been cut in half after he was penalized for an improper drop during Saturday’s round.

It could have rattled him. It didn’t.

He lost the lead midway through the final round and that could have rattled him. It didn’t.

He battled back and forced the playoff where he holed a birdie putt on the fourth playoff hole in darkness under the glare of the scoreboard lights for his win.

Look for another solid effort this week after a huge weight was lifted off his very slim shoulders.

More golf betting: PGA Tour odds, props and predictions for Waste Management Phoenix Open

Long(ish)-shot bet to consider for LIV Tour odds in Las Vegas

Watch out for Rahm’s teammate this week, Tyrrell Hatton.

Hatton, at +1100 this week, may not be that big of a longshot but he’s still a good value.

Hatton also made his LIV debut last week and got off to a rocky start with a one-over-par first round.

He got a little steadier the second round where he posted a one-under-par round.

Then came the finale where he had the second-best round of the week, going seven-under-par and moving into a T-8 finish.

Now that he’s had a week to adjust, look for him to make his mark in his new league very quickly.

He only had one PGA Tour win in 128 starts. Why not match that number on the LIV Tour very quickly.

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