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Best prop bets for Teofimo Lopez vs. Jamaine Ortiz: Predictions & top selections for 2024 boxing fight

Boxing looks to take advantage of a crowd coming into Las Vegas for the Super Bowl with a fight featuring Teofimo Lopez. Lopez defends the WBO and The Ring super lightweight titles against Jamaine Ortiz on February 8. The fight in “Sin City” airs on ESPN+ in the U.S.

A 2015 Golden Gloves gold medalist, Lopez turned pro in 2016. He beat Richard Commey in 2019 for the IBF lightweight title and Vasiliy Lomachenko in 2020 for the WBA, WBO, and The Ring belts. On top of the world, Taylor lost the belts against George Kambosos Jr. in 2021. He has since won three in a row, beating Josh Taylor in June to win the WBO and Ring belts. 

“I’m the big clown of the sport of boxing. I’ve got to make everyone laugh. I’ve got a big nose for a reason. It’s great to be back. I’m glad to see the talents coming through. But this is only the beginning for me. I’m 26 years young. I’m not even in my prime yet,” Lopez said. “We have a tremendous dance partner. He’s wanted this fight for a while. And we’ll do our thing.”

Ortiz made his pro debut in 2016. After fighting Joseph Adorno to a draw, Ortiz beat Jamel Herring in 2022 for the NABF lightweight title. He lost against Lomachenko but rebounded in September, beating Antonio Moran. The fight is a rematch from the 2015 Golden Gloves, something Ortiz takes personally.

“There hasn’t been respect. It’s a fight. I’m coming here to take his head off. It is what it is,” Ortiz said. “There is a calm before the storm. you’ve got to know to keep control of your mind and body, especially before you go into battle. I feel like I’m going to be the guy having the clown do whatever I want to do. It’s going to be that kind of show.”

Per the FanDuel Sportsbook, Teofimo Lopez is the -750 favorite, while Jamaine Ortiz is the +470 underdog. Is “The Takeover” truly back, or can Ortiz pull off the upset?

The Sporting News looks at some unique and worthy prop bets for this fight. 

Teofimo Lopez vs. Jamaine Ortiz prop bets

1. To be knocked down and win: Teofimo Lopez (+1800 via FanDuel)

Lopez is a tactical fighter and can strike whenever he wants if momentum is on his side. However, there are moments where he lacks consistency, resulting in trouble coming his way. 

Against Sandor Martin, Lopez got dropped in the second round, and he even questioned his skills following a split decision win. He did rebound with a decisive victory against Josh Taylor for super lightweight gold.

The fight will be a case of whether Lopez can handle the tough Ortiz, who last got dropped in 2021 against Joseph Adorno.

If Lopez gets put down, it will be early in the contest. The Sporting News believes he can recover and adapt. However, nothing is certain until he enters the ring. 

2. Will the fight go the distance: Yes (-205 via FanDuel)

Lopez has 13 wins via knockout. The last time he won a fight via the power punch was in 2022 against Pedro Campa. Before that was 2019 against Richard Commey. His power is not gone, as Lopez can be scientific with his fights when on.

BET: Latest odds for Lopez vs. Ortiz on FanDuel

The last fight that did not go the distance for Ortiz was in 2020 when he beat Sulaiman Segawa via knockout. Though he has gotten dropped, he can adapt well enough to force the fight to go 10 or 12 rounds. 

Ultimately, the fight will be decided by the scorecards, thanks to the durability of both men.

3. Exact method of victory: Teofimo Lopez by UD (-110 via FanDuel)

Dethroning Josh Taylor, Lopez has already established himself as a top fighter at 140.

Lopez is fourth-best in the division with a +/- of 5.5. The 26-year-old has a connect percentage of 31.4%, third-best. His opponents land the fourth-fewest total punches per round with 10.5. Regarding power, he ranks second with a 42.6% connect rate. Ortiz isn’t ranked anywhere at the top of the division. 

Against Taylor, Lopez landed 158 of 517 shots (30.6%) compared to 82 of 341 (24%) shots for the former. That’s better compared to the 97 of 391 shots landed (24.8%) against Sandor Martin (77 of 244, 31.6%). Lopez has improved and regained his confidence just in time to complete his journey of multi-weight domination. 

MORE: How much are tickets for Teofimo Lopez vs. Jamaine Ortiz?

Let’s compare the two against a familiar foe, Vasiliy Lomachenko. Lopez landed an average of 15 of 55 punches per round, landing 183 of 659 shots (27.8%) compared to 141 of 321 for Lomachenko (43.9%). The connect rate may not be ideal, but Lopez used his power to push Lomachenko back, landing an absurd 50 punches in the last round. 

Ortiz, who outworked Jamel Herring, landed 122 of 607 (20.1%) shots against the Ukrainian (125 of 571, 21.9%). Lomachenko lost some steam in his power, landing 31% of his shots for power. Ortiz let his hands go in the right moments, though it wasn’t enough to secure the win. 

The fight will come down to what mindset Lopez will be in. Can he get the job done and continue to secure his status at 140, or can Ortiz be a true challenge for the multi-division champion? 

The Sporting News favors Lopez in what should be an entertaining affair. 

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