Reeling from the damaging defeat to Villarreal last time out that left them 11 points adrift of the table’s summit, Barcelona look to rebound with a home match against 12th-placed Osasuna.
Barcelona held a 3-1 lead with under 20 minutes to go but completely collapsed, falling 5-3 thanks to a pair of goals for Villarreal deep in stoppage time. The defeat cost manager Xavi his future at the club, with the Blaugrana subsequently announcing he will depart at the end of the season.
Mental lapses and individual mistakes in critical moments have plagued the side this season, and while a post-mortem would surely identify other issues than just the manager as catalysts for their struggles, Xavi has taken the fall.
With the La Liga title surely out of reach, Barcelona find themselves simply in a battle to remain in a Champions League position, just two points above fifth-placed Athletic Club in the league standings, in danger of dropping out of a qualifying position altogether.
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Barcelona vs Osasuna prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Osasuna (+700)
- Score prediction: Barcelona 1-2 Osasuna
It’s easy at this point to pile on Barcelona’s struggles, but between their recent deficiencies and Osasuna’s strengths, this match is primed for another letdown as blame continues to fall on Xavi’s shoulders.
In their three-match slump, Barcelona have conceded both a high volume of opportunities and quality chances to opponents, a deadly combination. Despite falling 4-2 in the end, Real Betis pummeled Barcelona with 14 shots, three more than Xavi’s side. That was a harbinger for Barcelona’s ensuing defeats, with Athletic Club ripping off an outlandish 29 shots to Barcelona’s seven in the 4-2 defeat for Xavi, which was followed up by the 5-3 loss to Villarreal in which Barca’s opponents took just nine efforts but compiled five goals and 2.18 xG from them.
Osasuna aren’t one of the league’s most attack-minded sides that can reprise those efforts, but of late, they’re much improved. Since the start of December, Osasuna have hit for over 1.0 xG in all of their seven league games, averaging an impressive 1.55 xG per match. If they convert their chances, Osasuna can take advantage of Barca’s recent defensive downturn and secure an upset result by outscoring their opponents.
to score Y/N
|+100 / -120
|Over / Under
|-165 / +125
Barcelona vs Osasuna match facts
- Date: Wednesday, Jan. 31, 2024
- Kickoff Time: 7 p.m. local (1 p.m. ET / 10 a.m. PT)
- Location: Lluis Companys Olympic Stadium (Barcelona, Spain)
- Referee: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez VAR: Valentin Pizarro Gomez
- Last meeting: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna (Jan. 11, 2024 | Supercopa de Espana)
Barcelona vs Osasuna best bet
- Pick: Both teams to score — YES
- Odds: +100 (DraftKings)
As detailed above, Barcelona have seen gaping holes open up in their defensive structure of late, and Osasuna are in good form to take advantage.
The club’s leading scorer Ante Budimir is a great shout to find the net, in great form having scored three goals in his last six league matches as he profits off his heavy involvement as the key contributor up front (14 shots worth 2.72 xG in that span). He has two career goals against Barcelona in nine attempts, but many of those have been substitute appearances, limiting his chances in the past.
Osasuna have not been shut out in league play since an early October defeat to Real Madrid, a 12-match run of scoring goals, and even in their 2-0 Supercopa defeat to Barcelona two weeks ago, they managed 11 shots and three on target, which should be enough to find the net more often than not.
Barcelona vs Osasuna prop bet
- Pick: Osasuna double chance
- Odds: +240 (DraftKings)
Regardless of whether this match ends up high-scoring or a grinder, it feels that Osasuna are well-positioned to snatch a result. They have suffered five straight defeats to Barcelona, but three of those were by a one-goal margin, and they have managed two draws and a win over Barca since the start of the 2019/20 season.
Barcelona vs Osasuna live stream, TV channel
|Fubo USA, ESPN+, WatchESPN
|Viaplay Sports 1
The U.S. broadcast rights to the Spanish top flight are owned by ESPN, who put every match on their streaming service ESPN+ with both English and Spanish broadcasts available.
Additionally, this match was selected for a Spanish-language television broadcast on ESPN Deportes, which is available to stream on Fubo in the United States.
In Canada, this match, as is the case with every game across the entire La Liga season, is available to stream exclusively on TSN+.
UK fans can watch the match between Barcelona and Osasuna on Viaplay Sports 1, with streaming available on LaLigaTV.
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